Archive for the ‘Redistricting’ Category

BIG GOP WIN IN TEXAS !

Friday, January 31st, 2020

 

Here’s a win for the good guys !!!  Bodes very well for November’s  election
Nancy  Trump 2020 !

 

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Texas Is About to Go Blue! Never Mind

Democrats were sure they’d flip a state House seat this week. They weren’t close.

by Karl Rove  January 30, 2020

While many Americans were focused on Washington this week, I was paying special attention to Fort Bend County, Texas. What took place in that Houston suburb may reveal more about the 2020 election than the impeachment trial in the Senate does.

Fort Bend held a special runoff election to fill a vacant state House seat left open by the resignation of the Republican incumbent, who took a job with the University of Texas. Sensing an opening, state and national Democrats decided a win in House District 28 would give them a head start on flipping the nine seats they’d need to control the Texas House and boost their efforts to overturn GOP state legislative majorities from Arizona to Florida, Wisconsin to Pennsylvania and a dozen states in between.

The reason for this intense Democratic interest in state politics is redistricting.Democrats saw how Republican state legislative majorities affected the composition of the U.S. House after the 2010 census. Democrats want to do in more states what they did back then in drawing congressional lines favorable to their party in California, Illinois, Maryland and other blue bastions. The 2020 census gives them the opportunity, but only if they control at least one chamber of a state’s legislature.

Democrats, eager to set the tone for 2020, piled into the race with money, endorsements, technology, lists and volunteers to help Elizabeth Markowitz defeat her Republican opponent. Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Mike Bloomberg all endorsed Ms. Markowitz. Mr. Bloomberg even carved out time from his presidential campaign to go door-to-door with her. Former presidential candidates Julián Castro and Robert Francis O’Rourke also canvassed neighborhoods, Mr. O’Rourke so frequently that it looked as if he was trying to establish residency.

Calling the race “the most important election (yet) in 2020,” the former El Paso congressman said a victory could help turn Texas blue and “build momentum” in the state for the eventual Democratic presidential nominee.

The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee echoed Mr. O’Rourke’s enthusiasm, saying that flipping the district would be “earth-shattering.” The Texas House Democratic Campaign Committee called the race “a dead heat” in the campaign’s final week.

Former Attorney General Eric Holder, chairman of the National Democratic Redistricting Committee, said if Ms. Markowitz was elected, she’d be “a key voice in fixing our broken political system.” His praise was accompanied by $50,000 in contributions, part of the nearly $1.3 million from national and state Democratic groups. More than 70% of Ms. Markowitz’s contributors were from outside Texas, and more than 94% from outside her district, according to Texas Ethics Commission campaign reports.

All these hopes of a Democratic victory were shattered Tuesday. In the biggest turnout in history for a Texas House special runoff, Republican Gary Gates walloped Ms. Markowitz 58% to 42%. His 16-point margin of victory was more than twice the Republican incumbent’s in 2018 and larger than the district margins for President Trump in 2016 (10 points) and Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018 (three).

(more…)

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ERIC HOLDER TAKES VIRGINIA

Friday, November 8th, 2019

 

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Eric Holder Takes Virginia

The Democratic plan to dominate state legislatures has its first electoral success.

By Kimberley Strassel      November 8, 2019

Analysts are reading Tuesday’s tea leaves, predicting what the off-year election results mean for the presidential race. But one victory is beyond dispute. Former Attorney General Eric Holder will be celebrating this week for a decade.

Democrats on Tuesday won total control of Virginia’s government, adding both chambers of the General Assembly to the governor’s mansion. They will redraw Virginia’s legislative district lines after next year’s census. The Old Dominion was already moving left, though the redistricting power likely cements Democratic dominance over Virginia for the next 10 years.

This was Mr. Holder’s plan. While most prominent Democrats spent the months following Donald Trump’s election plotting future runs, Mr. Holder was launching the National Democratic Redistricting Committee, committed to domination of electoral mapmaking through the courts and legislatures. The NDRC spent its first years aggressively litigating legislative maps it didn’t like, to great success. Virginia’s election was the first test of the electoral piece of Mr. Holder’s strategy, and it will now serve as the model by which Democrats attempt to gain redistricting power in 11 other key states next year.

The NDRC claims its efforts are aimed at simple “fairness in the electoral system.” It says it’s working to overturn gerrymanders that “disenfranchise” voters. Don’t be fooled. Mr. Holder’s group has never engaged in blue states where Democrats routinely draw maps to disadvantage Republicans, such as Maryland, Massachusetts or New Jersey.

The NDRC is instead the Democratic version of the GOP’s success of a decade ago, the Redmap Project. Democrats, flush from Barack Obama’s 2008 victory, tuned out the state legislatures. Republicans used their inattention, along with a sweeping cash advantage and a backlash against the Obama presidency, to flip 21 state chambers in 2010, allowing them to dominate map-drawing after that year’s census. That power helped consolidate Republican control of state chambers and the U.S. House. Republicans might be flattered by Mr. Holder’s imitation—if they weren’t so busy getting crushed.

The Holder “sue to blue” litigation strategy has already yielded major gains for Democrats, as state judges struck down maps drawn by Republicans and required changes that ultimately aided the Democrats. Example: Pennsylvania’s Supreme Court—which is chosen through partisan elections and has a Democratic majority—in 2018 overruled the U.S. House maps drawn by the Republican legislature and produced its own version. The new maps helped Democrats flip three net seats. In Virginia, federal judges redrew the state legislative map to aid candidates running this week.

(more…)

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THE BATTLE OVER THE BALLOT BOX

Sunday, February 10th, 2013

 

The Wall Street Journal

  • February 9, 2013,

The Coming Battle Over the Ballot Box

A voting-rights veteran talks about the liberal campaign to expand the electoral rolls—and why Obama is on board.

By JAMES TARANTO

When President Obama declared victory last November, you might have missed the way he spun his voter-turnout triumph into a grievance: “I want to thank every American who participated in this election, whether you voted for the very first time or waited in line for a very long time,” he said on election night, adding: “By the way, we need to fix that.”

He returned to the subject at his inauguration: “Our journey is not complete until no citizen is forced to wait for hours to exercise the right to vote.” And in his State of the Union address on Tuesday, the president is expected to call on Congress to enact new voting legislation. Several liberal Democrats have already introduced a bill styled the Voter Empowerment Act of 2013.

The effort is a cynical partisan undertaking, according to election lawyer Hans von Spakovsky. In December, some “three dozen of the most powerful liberal advocacy groups, including union organizations,” held a strategy session, he says, citing a report from the liberal magazine Mother Jones. They agreed to “oppose all voter integrity efforts, things like voter ID,” to push for federal legislation requiring states to permit voter registration on Election Day, and to institute “automatic” voter registration.

“They basically want to use the government to do Democratic voter outreach and voter registration for them,” Mr. von Spakovsky says. “They believe that if they can get, for example, everyone registered to vote who is currently getting government benefits like welfare . . . then that will somehow get them more votes at the polls and make it easier to win elections.”

The Voter Empowerment Act would also mandate automatic registration of individuals on motor-vehicle, tax and university rolls, many of whom are aliens or have multiple addresses in different states: “You’re basically going to be registering lots of people who are ineligible and leading to many duplicate registrations.” The groups pushing such efforts—among them the Brennan Center for Justice, the ACLU and the NAACP—include “the same organizations that have been filing lawsuits over the past few years trying to prevent states from verifying the accuracy and eligibility of people on their voter-registration databases,” Mr. von Spakovsky says. (more…)

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THE BARNEY FRANK ERA

Wednesday, November 30th, 2011
The Wall Street Journal

  • NOVEMBER 30, 2011

The Congressman from Fannie Mae retires.

  • It is a newspaper truism that what is good for journalism is bad for the country, and vice versa. Let’s just say that regarding the pending retirement of Congressman Barney Frank, we’re delighted to make the professional sacrifice.

Few House Members have made a bigger legislative mark, and arguably no one so expensively. Mr. Frank deserves to be forever remembered—and we’ll help everyone remember him—as the nation’s leading protector of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac before their fall. For years Barney helped block meaningful reform of the mortgage giants while pushing an “affordable housing” agenda that helped to enlarge the subprime mortgage industry.

“I do think I do not want the same kind of focus on safety and soundness that we have in OCC [Office of the Comptroller of the Currency] and OTS [Office of Thrift Supervision],” Mr. Frank said on September 25, 2003, in one of his many legendary rhetorical hits. “I want to roll the dice a little bit more in this situation towards subsidized housing.” The dice came up snake-eyes for the housing market and U.S. economy.

Democracy can be unfair, and for his sins Mr. Frank was rewarded with the chairmanship of the Financial Services Committee in 2009 and an opening to remake the U.S. financial industry. It was like asking Charlie Sheen to teach an anger management class. The result was Dodd-Frank, which didn’t solve the “too big to fail” problem but did make banks even more subject to the wishes of Washington. The crony capitalism exemplified by Fannie and Freddie became more broadly embedded in U.S. financial markets. (more…)

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THE TOP TEN MOST GERRYMANDERED CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICTS IN THE UNITED STATES

Sunday, May 22nd, 2011

PAJAMASMEDIA.COM

November 11, 2010 – 1:30 pm – by Zombie

(In the first half of this essay, Gerrymandering 101, I explained how gerrymandering works and why it’s so ubiquitous. Here in the exciting conclusion I name and shame the ten most gerrymandered districts of the current 111th Congress — plus 20 bizarre bonus districts not mentioned in the title.)

(10.) North Carolina-12


This is what most people imagine when they think of a gerrymandered district — what I call “Gerrymander Classic.” NC-12 looks very much like the gerrymandered districts of the 19th century, but taken to extremes. As bad as it is, NC-12 at least looks like a congressional district, with meandering lines, consistent width, and hand-drawn appearance. As we’ll soon see, modern gerrymandering is often another animal altogether, with jarring shapes and artificial boundaries that are not just offensive to the eye but somehow feel like an insult to rationality.

(9.) Florida-20


This is what gerrymandering looks like in the modern era: ugly. Gone are any attempts at aesthetics. In the old days, redistricters at least tried to disguise their gerrymandering by drawing district lines that looked almost kinda sorta reasonable. No more. Nowadays many districts, with FL-20 being a good example, seem to be the result of computer algorithms with no regard whatsoever for human or natural boundaries. Needless to say, all sense of “community” within a congressional is out the window altogether when it is shaped like this, with jagged tendrils reaching out every which way to gobble up the desired demographic.

(more…)

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JOHN LOCKE FOUNDATION – CAROLINA JOURNAL

Friday, April 8th, 2011

http://app.bronto.com/public/?q=ulink&fn=Link&ssid=315&id=0qlfuyakqee5tro0f4c0hudxd36m1&id2=dbrw8dp7akroowbleh0jln834kz9q&subscriber_id=bekuujwswyfydfuhrvnzsirgfbvibpm&delivery_id=beftyiyvrcmxdfgcpccjrknfaihrbck&tid=3.ATs.AqPFcw.CwNi.LFD-..NEDE.b..l.DO0.b.TZ3laQ.TZ3laQ.n_dgLA
April 07, 2011 – carolinajournal.com
Carolina Journal Exclusive

VIDEO: Is DOT Double-Counting High-Speed Rail Jobs?
By Anthony Greco
RALEIGH — Under the job-years concept, if one person holds the same job for four years, it’s counted as four jobs. That’s how the North Carolina Department of Transportation can claim that federal funding for high-speed rail would create nearly 4,800 jobs when in fact only about 1,200 people would be employed.

John Hood’s Daily Journal

Reality Check on UNC Tuition
As long as legislative appropriations cover the vast majority of the cost of educating students, the constitutional provision is satisfied.

Headlines

4.07.11 – Legislators see trouble in Perdue’s budget cuts

4.07.11 – N.C. bills aim at constitutional changes

4.07.11 – Private property safeguards OK’d by NC House panel

4.07.11 – Second governor’s residence is getting an update

4.07.11 – NC charter school overhaul bill back in committee

4.07.11 – NC voter ID mandate approved by House committee

4.07.11 – Perdue forms panel to help select judges

4.07.11 – Ruling due on sex offenders’ access to Facebook social site

4.07.11 – Bill to separate crime lab from SBI

4.07.11 – Red-light camera ban zips through panel vote

4.07.11 – Bill would shield citizens from suits like Titan’s

4.07.11 – Charlotte region jobless rate falls

4.07.11 – AT&T says 4G on the way, but some say, not so fast

4.07.11 – Graham, Swain counties spar over Fontana dam funds

4.07.11 – Red wolf litter on the way? Species needs blessed event

(more…)

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JOHN LOCKE FOUNDATION – MORNING UPDATE

Wednesday, March 23rd, 2011
http://app.bronto.com/public/?q=ulink&fn=Link&ssid=315&id=46ifnp5w9tzql9j3uoacq4o7ecrzm&id2=c0ayo8vlkfn74z888zi2hj1ig7akl&subscriber_id=bekuujwswyfydfuhrvnzsirgfbvibpm&delivery_id=bgbrxcjjaztotqhrwzjyhylvmcenbmh&tid=3.ATs.AqPFcw.CpEt.K7DA..Msx9.b..l.DO0.b.TYoaKA.TYoaKA.jl0FaA
March 23, 2011 – carolinajournal.com
Carolina Journal Exclusive

VIDEO: Pantano Gets Early Start on 2012 Campaign
By Anthony Greco
RALEIGH — Ilario Pantano is not taking any downtime after his narrow loss to U.S. Rep. Mike McIntyre, D-7th. Pantano filed campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission. He said he decided to keep his campaign active in order to meet as many potential voters as possible.

John Hood’s Daily Journal

The Perdue Predicament
The best option Democrats have right now is for the governor to recover her footing and make a serious contest out of what now seems a foregone conclusion.

Headlines

3.23.11 – Plan puts NC health insurance on chopping block

3.23.11 – Lottery funding for public schools on table

3.23.11 – GOP tries to put brakes on high-speed rail in NC

3.23.11 – N.C. held back data on bypass, documents say

3.23.11 – DAs say guilt of suspects affirmed

3.23.11 – High court to rule on Miranda rights of juveniles

3.23.11 – 911 call bill gets Senate approval

3.23.11 – Goolsby seeks more openness in government

3.23.11 – Florida legislator regrets letting utility pass on cost

3.23.11 – Duke to offer free home car chargers

3.23.11 – Bill would allow wider use of digital billboards

3.23.11 – CMS will explore privatizing services

3.23.11 – Experts duel over busing, diversity in Wake

3.23.11 – Census numbers amplify shortfall in Fayetteville budget

3.23.11 – Greensboro landfill savings could top $5 million

(more…)

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A PREVIEW OF 2012 REDISTRICTING

Friday, November 12th, 2010

RealClearPolitics

November 11, 2010

A Preview of 2012 Redistricting

By Sean Trende

As bad as 2010 was for House Democrats, 2012 could be even worse. Republicans don’t have a lot of exposure, since most of their gains were in red territory. More importantly, Republicans will control more seats in redistricting than they have since the states began regular decennial redistricting in 1972.

Using census estimates of where population is growing and falling within states, as well as Dave Bradlee’s handy redistricting application, I offer my thoughts on how redistricting will most likely shape things in 2012. If I don’t discuss a state, it just means that I don’t see any meaningful changes occurring. To determine which states will gain/lose seats, I use Polidata.org, which sorts through the complex redistricting formula. Please note that these are based off of census estimates, not final numbers; in 2000, most observers were surprised when North Carolina gained a seat and Utah did not. (more…)

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